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Developments in nutrition and food safety over the past decades have been nothing short of phenomenal. It was only at the beginning of this century for example that we discovered nutrients such as vitamins and linked certain diseases to deficiency states, including ricketts, scurvy and malnutrition. In the past decade, we have furthered the understanding of food and allergy, discovered phytonutrients and seen the reality of food biotechnology and functional foods.

The 8th Asian Nutrition Congress held in Seoul, Korea on August 29 -September 2, 1999, was the last large nutrition congress to be held in Asia this millenium. It was therefore a fitting venue to ask several of the world's leading nutritionists to reflect on the major advances made in nutrition in the last century and to make some predictions on what they see occurring in the next one. Here's what they had to say.

It's all in the genes

Nevin Scrimshaw, United Nations University, United States, identified the gradual discovery of the link between nutrition and the prevalence and outcome of infections as one of the key advances in nutrition over the last few decades. He also pointed to the explosion in the understanding of immunology as critical to our understanding of the link between diet and infection. An area of potential interest in the next century will be the identification of genetic predisposition to disease via a blood test using DNA analysis. People identified as sensitive to certain food components could then alter their diet before developing certain diseases. This would mean for example, that a person identified as being at increased risk of colon cancer could make specific changes to his or her diet and exercise patterns to reduce their risk of contracting the disease.

Asia-specific predictions

Dr Gopalan, Nutrition Foundation of India, New Delhi, spoke of the striking demographic and developmental transitions affecting Asian countries over the last fifty years. Dr Gopalan noted that this has resulted in profound changes in lifestyle-related health problems including declining mortality rates, increased life expectancy, virtual elimination of severe forms of malnutrition and the escalation of chronic lifestyle- related diseases such as obesity, heart disease and diabetes. Dr Gopalan's predictions for Asia were:

  • Major paradigm shifts in national nutrition policies to include optimal nutrition rather than just survival. This will include new dietary recommendations on micronutrients and phytochemicals, substances that until now have been largely ignored when governments set their recommended dietary intakes.
  • The emergence of proven and safe technologies for food production especially in the area of production, processing and preservation.
  • Intensive research on the potential benefits of Asian plant foods.
  • Investment in strengthening scientific infrastructure and the provision of adequate support for scientific research in food and nutrition in Asian countries.
  • An emphasis on mental development to enable children to reach their full intellectual capacity.

Professor Mamdouh Gabr, Department of Pediatrics, Cairo University, Egypt predicts:

  • A growth in the numbers of adolescents and disabled children due to lower infant mortality rates and improved medical care.
  • Scientific and technical advances that improve the food supply will partly alleviate nutrition problems caused by poverty and malnutrition.
  • Advances in vaccination programmes will lead to changes in disease patterns with a reduction in infectious diseases and a growth in the relative incidence of dietary-related diseases.

The sky's the limit

Professor Barbara Underwood, Institute of Medicine, Washington, USA, discussed the discovery of vitamins and minerals in the twentieth century. She predicted that the "sky is the limit" in terms of the future of nutrition in the next century. Major factors she expects to shape nutrition science over the next few decades include:

  • More work on the modulation of genetic expression by dietary factors.
  • New functions discovered for trace minerals.
  • An improved understanding about the interactions between nutrients, genes and health.
  • Scientists and nutritionists will focus on the health-promoting qualities of eating patterns (such as Japanese or Mediterranean eating patterns) rather than just concentrating on nutrients.
  • Individual variations in responses to nutrients will be intensively studied. This will enable improved understanding of why some individuals develop disease while others do not.

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